6 ms·
Charges and arrests involving export violation schemes to aid Russian military
- mikewarot 4y agoI find it stunning that Russia doesn't have the ability to make internally a thing that goes for US$5000 used on Ebay. Skill and care is required to make them, apparently their education system collapsed a generation ago. [Edit/PS] This serves as a cautionary tale against neglecting Industrial Arts Education. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jig_grinder https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jig_grinder
- hirundo 4y agoHere's Peter Zeihan saying the same thing about Russia's use of Iranian drones. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToagLbv0140 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToagLbv0140 He says they're mopeds with wings, and a third rate US factory could churn them out, but Russia can't build them.
- cdot2 4y agoA lot of the manufacturing ability that we take for granted is uncommon in much of the world. For example China was not able to manufacture ball point pen tips before 2017. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/01/18/finally-china-manufactures-a-ballpoint-pen-all-by-itself/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/01/18...
- tablespoon 4y ago> China was not able to manufacture ball point pen tips before 2017. IIRC, the issue wasn't so much that the couldn't make them, but the ones that they could make were clearly inferior. According to this, it seems like the problem was more one of metallurgy: https://fortune.com/2017/01/10/china-ballpoint-pens-steel-japan/ https://fortune.com/2017/01/10/china-ballpoint-pens-steel-ja...
- tablespoon 4y ago> [Peter Zeihan] says they're mopeds with wings, and a third rate US factory could churn them out, but Russia can't build them. Who is he to make a technical evaluation of drone quality? Americans are very biased to assume everything made by anyone besides their first-world allies is crap, and IMHO that kind of thinking will be their undoing. Russia is adapting to sudden supply chain constraints it was obviously unprepared for, and Iran almost certainly has a lot more experience dealing with (and working around) them. Russia could have all the skill in the world, but they won't be able to build anything if they can't source some critical part for their existing designs. If Iran has the parts for their designs, they can build.
- WJW 4y agoHonestly they are kind of crap in the sense that they really are mopeds with wings, which have sometimes even been shot out of the air by policemen with small arms. They are decidedly not crap in the sense that the type of air defense most nations have developed so far will struggle engaging such drones cost effectively. If you use a 500k missile to shoot down a 20k drone, that is a win for the drone operator. If you don't shoot it down and it severely damages a 10m power plant, that is also a win for the drone operator. The aircraft vs air defense arms race in the past couple of decades has been towards more capable (and thus more expensive) platforms on both sides, leaving room for this kind of cheap drone on the bottom of the market. There are plenty of systems that can cost-effectively engage drones though, from old-style flak guns to other cheap drones to (in the future) lasers. It is only a matter of time before the West finds proper countermeasures.
- thrown_22 4y agoThe last part is wishful thinking. The Germans found no counter measures for tanks in WWI and neither did the French in WWII. The only viable counter to tanks between 1915 and 1955 were more tanks as the USSR and US showed.
- mellavora 4y agoBazooka? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bazooka https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bazooka Molotov cocktail? "the time-honored anti-tank weapon of last resort." https://www.thearmorylife.com/molotov-cocktail-vs-tank-a-history-of-this-desperate-measure/ https://www.thearmorylife.com/molotov-cocktail-vs-tank-a-his...
- conductr 4y agoThey could if they wanted to. They’re fighting a war and have an immediate need.
- Cthulhu_ 4y agoBut do they have the equipment, the materials, the money and the workforce for it? What they can import is heavily restricted; there was another article that said the chips they import now are grey market, lower grade stuff with a much higher failure rate. You can't even make a moped with wings if your chips don't even work. I guess you could make dumb drones but what's the point if they're less accurate than WW2 V1 / V2 ?
- greedo 4y agoIf you follow @kamilkazani, he talks about how the fall of the USSR crippled Russia's manufacturing ability; without Western help, it's toast.
- Cthulhu_ 4y agoI mean the fact that a significant portion of its potential workers has either been drafted into the army, went into hiding or fled the country probably isn't doing them much good either.
- impossiblefork 4y agoMany things that are quite cheap require very specialized knowledge. It's not appropriate to send a bunch of scientific instrument builders on a major project when you can just buy it. Notice also that tools like these made in China exist, but that they still wanted this US tool. Perhaps they already have many of the same model, or it's actually special.
- shagie 4y agoConsider the humble ball point pen and the difficulty of making it in China. Finally, China manufactures a ballpoint pen all by itself - https://wapo.st/3ySmwlG https://wapo.st/3ySmwlG And when you get into it... > The tip of a ballpoint pen is what makes it a ballpoint pen. At the tip, a freely rotating ball is held in a small socket which connects it to an ink reservoir that allows the pen to write or draw lines. Manufacturing a ballpoint pen tip that can write comfortably for a long period of time requires high-precision machinery and precisely thin steel, but for years China was unable to match those crafted by foreign companies. It isn't unreasonable to believe that there are other, more specialized tools, that have similar difficulties in manufacturing without the proper equipment and expertise. Some of them are just not common enough to dedicate significant resources to try to build inhouse. (and after pulling that up, I see that a recent cousin comment in another thread brings the same article and point)
- conductr 4y ago> It isn't unreasonable to believe that there are other, more specialized tools, that have similar difficulties in manufacturing without the proper equipment and expertise. Some of them are just not common enough to dedicate significant resources to try to build inhouse In the middle of fighting a war no less, time is a factor.
- dirtyid 4y ago>common enough to dedicate significant resources to try to build inhouse. Basically. Especially relevant for the ballpoint pen anecdote which wasn't about how hard it was to make ball point tips, but some products were not economically worth pursuing over existing off the shelf solutions, but STILL important to develop indigenously due to gaining knowledge/capabilities that knockon/support ther strategic / critical sectors. The TLDR is Premier LiKeQiang politicized importance of precision manufacturing for national security, using rough PRC ball-point tips quality as example, and 2 years later PRC industry developed tungsten carbide manufacturing capabilities for advanced munitions. There was no economically sensible reason for domestic ballpoint tip manufacturing, the entire market dominated by Japanese and Swiss was only worth 20M. Zero rationale for Chinese industry to coordinate tons of resources for this project outside of national security. An related apocryphal annedote I read was the steel for tips made in JP/CHE were made in small batches (because tips are tiny), ditto with early half assed PRC efforts. But for ball point pen project, a state steelwork (high volume, billion dollar operation) had to stop the lines to make an industrial sized batch with correct metallurgy at a financial loss. 100+ billion of domestic PRC ballpoint tips made in the past 5 years have barely chipped away at that batch.
- jbay808 4y agoI'm guessing that this was a Moore jig grinder. There are few places in the world still capable of manufacturing a machine such as those. I'm not sure if even America still can. The fact that they go for $5000 on eBay is not a testament to them being easy to manufacture. It's a testament to their incredible abilities being underappreciated in the modern world, such that their manufacturers have virtually disappeared or gone into other businesses.
- etrautmann 4y agoI went on a deep dive on mechanical accuracy based on a post here on HN of the book authored by Wayne Moore, the founder of that company. Really fascinating to dig into how everything starts from extremely flat reference planes, and how that accuracy can get transferred to other geometries to build high accuracy cnc machines. https://ia800104.us.archive.org/20/items/FoundationsOfMechanicalAccuracy/Foundations_of_Mechanical_Accuracy.pdf https://ia800104.us.archive.org/20/items/FoundationsOfMechan...
- jbay808 4y agoIndeed, although the machines were designed to be manually operated and not CNC. The precision is such that they never wear out, because the surfaces are geometrically accurate to the point that even the leadscrew has full-area contact against its mating surface. Moore does not, and sadly cannot, make these machines anymore.
- dahart 4y agoAre you talking about a specific model? They appear to be selling high precision jig grinders from Connecticut, which sounds similar to what the Justice Department’s statement is referring to. https://mooretool.com/jig_grinders.html#mooreprogrind https://mooretool.com/jig_grinders.html#mooreprogrind
- jbay808 4y agoYes, the #3. (I should have clarified that). The new CNC machines are not the same as the ones in the book the GP linked to. CNC use requires ballscrews and roller ways, instead of leadscrews and sliding ways. As a result the machine and its manufacturing process are quite different. But you're right, the article specifies that it's computer controlled, so probably not a #3.
- nazca 4y agoI agree, but imagine how many things we commonly use in the US that we don't make and would be impossible to get if China & couple other countries introduced export controls on them.
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]
- PeterisP 4y agoSpecialized tooling is hard to make. For example, Russia is currently suffering from a reduction in railway capacity as they are unable to make some types of replacement ball bearings for rail cars, and they are also unable to make the devices for manufacturing them. The world is quite interconnected, and if you can buy a rare component at a good quality and price whenever you need one, then bootstrapping an industry for that doesn't make sense - since you alone anyways won't have the scale required to be cost-effective for it.
- thrown_22 4y agoRussia today is ironically poised for a communist revolution more so than at any other point in the last 30 years. A centrally planned economy is the only way for a third world nation to industrialize and they need that badly.
- pc86 4y agoHow many times are you going to post the same provably false comment?
- Cthulhu_ 4y agoI would imagine China still has the capacity to make these though, they're the world's biggest manufacturer, which includes precision machines. (I recall a Chinese company buying up all the stock of automated CNC machines for YEARS to meet Apple's demand for the macbook and iphone when they were all aluminium. Not as precise as these though).
- lm28469 4y ago> I find it stunning that Russia doesn't have the ability to make internally a thing that goes for US$5000 used on Ebay. If you dig a bit you'll find it's the case for a lot of things. Outsourcing production to Asia&co completely wiped entire industries, the knowledge is gone after one or two generations. Once the infrastructure and the knowledge are gone it's game over, you have to start from scratch again
- SAI_Peregrinus 4y agoThe indictment mentions it was a CNC jig grinder, so not an old manual machine.
- tablespoon 4y ago> Using NDA GmbH as a front company, Orekhov and Kuzurgasheva sourced and purchased sensitive military and dual-use technologies from U.S. manufacturers, including advanced semiconductors and microprocessors used in fighter aircraft, missile systems, smart munitions, radar, satellites, and other space-based military applications. These items were shipped to Russian end users, including sanctioned companies controlled by Telegin and Tulyakov that serviced Russia’s military. Some of the types of electronic components obtained through the criminal scheme have been found in Russian weapons platforms seized on the battlefield in Ukraine. As alleged, in 2019, Orekhov travelled to the United States to source parts used in the Russian-made Sukhoi fighter aircraft and the American-made F-22 Raptor stealth fighter aircraft. So what components are those, exactly?
- mikewarot 4y ago"According to court documents, beginning in 2018, Eriks Mamonovs, 33, and Vadims Ananics, 46, both citizens of Latvia who operated CNC Weld, a Latvia-based corporation, conspired with Stanislav Romanyuk, 37, a citizen of Ukraine and resident of Estonia who operated Estonia-based BY Trade OU, and others, including Janis Uzbalis, 46, of Latvia and individuals in Russia and a Russia-based company, to violate U.S. export laws and regulations and smuggle a jig grinder that was manufactured in Connecticut to Russia." -- Emphasis mine
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]
- formerly_proven 4y agoN.b. not your average drill grinding jig.
- mikewarot 4y agoIt is WWII era technology. Something capable of making existing holes slightly larger, and far more precise in their placement and size. You can find them used on Ebay for $5000 or so.
- potatototoo99 4y ago
- kspacewalk2 4y agoSurely you meant the US can request that other countries non-randomly arrest people (who are indicted for serious crimes, hence the "non-randomly" part), and then extradite them.
- prvit 4y agoThe US mostly can't do that, but EU countries have the European Arrest Warrant mechanism which more or less does allow them to do this by bypassing normal extradition procedures. It's way harder for someone in the US to have you grabbed off the street in Italy for a bullshit reason than it is for someone in Bulgaria or Hungary. Oh, and that stuff works by fax. It would be incredibly easy to send in a fake one and have anyone you’d like arrested.
- seventytwo 4y agoGood. As it exists right now, the Russian government should have zero access to anything.
- aa-jv 4y ago.. and how will you feel that this precedent has been set in the court of international affairs, when your country decides to usurp and defeat other sovereign nations around the world? I mean, sure. Lets have Russia treated the way a country should be treated when it invades another sovereign nation. That'd be progress, and it would be a great way to stop the US' imperialism, also, while we're at it ..
- roflyear 4y agoGreat. We shouldn't be doing that.
- aa-jv 4y agoWhatever sanctions Russia should suffer, the USA and its allies should also suffer the next time they drop troops in a sovereign nation and destroy its government. Simple as that.
- benisamigas 4y ago
- r2_pilot 4y ago* if done unilaterally without the consent of the international community, in contradiction to UN guidelines, and while committing war crimes against the civilian population, sure, I might could go for that. But this Russian situation is vastly different from the majority of actions taken by the US.
- patrick451 4y agoSo you would agree at least some actions taken by the U.S. are not that different? In particular, the U.S invasion of Iraq seems to be pretty much the same thing Russia is doing, but with even less justification.
- volleygman180 4y agoThe jig is up!
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]
- ghostoftiber 4y ago> A jig grinder is a high-precision grinding machine system that does not require a license to export to European Union countries but does require a license for export and reexport to Russia because of its applications in nuclear proliferation and defense programs. Oh boy I can't wait to see what happens to businesses like Autozone who might accidentally sell screwdrivers to Russia. /s Seriously though this is a relatively cheap tool which has largely been abandoned in favor of CNC technology. I used one to make engine parts for my Honda in shop class. It strikes me as absolutely bizarre they would arrest anyone for what amounts to a few generations old hand operated tooling. Maybe Putin needed to fix a Lada? Who knows.
- dr-detroit 4y ago
- flaviut 4y agoThe indictment calls it a "high-precision computer-controlled grinding machine" just before it mentions it is "commonly known as a 'jig grinder,'"
- lazide 4y agoWho says this wasn’t a precision CNC jig grinder?
- ghostoftiber 4y agoWho knows what it was. I feel like that's calling a Ferrari a "grocery getter". I mean it's probably not wrong - people do probably take their Ferraris to pick up milk - but it feels like the author isn't familiar with the subject.
- jjk166 4y agoA jig grinder is a specific type of machine tool. A $500,000 CNC jig grinder is still a jig grinder. It's equivalent to calling a Ferrari a car. And in this case we do know it was a CNC jig grinder.
- thomasjudge 4y agoActual title?
- rolph 4y agothe title has been editorialized, HN posts are required to use the title as it appears on the submission.
- Overtonwindow 4y agoActual title: “ Justice Department Announces Charges and Arrests in Two Cases Involving Export Violation Schemes to Aid Russian Military”
- showerst 4y agoFor everyone saying this is a 5000 dollar ebay score from the 50s, here's the regulation -- https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-10-24/pdf/2018-22163.pdf https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-10-24/pdf/2018-2... The regulation appears to pertain to _Three or more axis_ CNC machine with a sub 1.1 micron repeatability on one or more axes. That's not a 50s manual jig borer, that's a very high end modern(ish) CNC machine. The Canadian implementation (Obviously not US law but it's implementing the same treaty), is a little more readable. https://www.international.gc.ca/controls-controles/about-a_propos/expor/guide-2018.aspx?lang=eng#category2 https://www.international.gc.ca/controls-controles/about-a_p...
- cartoonfoxes 4y agoHere's a modern example of a Jig Grinder. https://mooretool.com/jig_grinders.html https://mooretool.com/jig_grinders.html
- mikewarot 4y agoOk, so the Moore #3 Grinder was only guaranteed to 2.3 microns, and 0.75 uM in any given inch, after 10 years. http://vintagemachinery.org/pubs/9432/20263.pdf http://vintagemachinery.org/pubs/9432/20263.pdf To be fair... I did try to find the specific grinder, but it doesn't appear to be listen in any article. Also, I agree that having CNC, and all the other upgrades is nice. Dan Gelbart says his is accurate to a micron https://youtu.be/HWPYoE1SNnA?t=61 https://youtu.be/HWPYoE1SNnA?t=61
- showerst 4y ago.75 microns? Bah, may as well be a clapped out bridgeport clone! =). In all seriousness manual jig borers feel a little like a Monarch 10ee -- an absolutely incredible machine that will never be built again due to how constraints have changed, that solves a problem that I will never actually have. Though if I lived out in the country someplace with a huge garage... Edit: to respond to your specific point it's the 3+ axis CNC that's the key thing, not the accuracy. They were that repeatable in the 50s, but not when interpolating a 3d spline! Can you even 'side mill' a #3 style jig borer without destroying it?
- mc32 4y agoNow, if they dug into our national labs for information exfiltrators who probably sell said information to non-friendlies, they might come across even more interesting catches. It's probably part of doing business, but also they could probably batten the hatches tighter.
- carbocation 4y agoThe title is “ Justice Department Announces Charges and Arrests in Two Cases Involving Export Violation Schemes to Aid Russian Military” The HN headline (“Illegal Jig Grinder”) reads as excessively editorialized.
- dang 4y agoFixed now. Thanks!
- mikewarot 4y agoThe sad part is they could have got this used CNC Jig Grinder that was ALREADY in Russia, used. https://www.machinio.com/listings/72896794-jig-grinder-hauser-s40-cnc-in-rostov-russia https://www.machinio.com/listings/72896794-jig-grinder-hause...