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I wonder how the EU thinks about this. There are clearly good sides. The UK is still a big and powerfull country, nobody wants Irish or Scottish political in
by hyperman1 4y ago
I wonder how the EU thinks about this.
There are clearly good sides. The UK is still a big and powerfull country, nobody wants Irish or Scottish political instability, and it's a great morale booster to have a leaver come back.
But the UK had plenty of dark sides. They always wanted an exception for everything, with the pound not being an euro the famous example. The UK firmly pushed the EU in the 'economic union' direction, so now the advocates of deeper political unification get a chance. There was the only-half-joke from Yes Minister about how the UK only joined because they couldn't break the EU from the outside.
I presume the UK has not really demonstrated what really happens outside the EU. First Covid and now Ukraine are 2 major excuses for bad news, so the pro-leavers can still claim they are right. The EU probably wants to see some more pain in the UK first, to convince other doubters. But not too much.
So while the UK probably could get back in, it might be on much less favorable terms than they had in the past and take a while.
- pmyteh 4y agoMy intuition is 'yes, of course, but you don't get the opt-outs back'. So no budget rebate, Euro participation etc. Which would be a tougher sell in Britain than otherwise. I expect customs union re-entry in due course followed by single market membership (which is pretty much all upside for the EU side) and long discussions about rejoining the political institutions. But nothing for the rest of this parliament or the next, probably. Starmer's not bold and/or reckless enough.
- RobotToaster 4y agoTrying to introduce the Euro into the UK would be political suicide for any politician brave/stupid enough to try. Only the most federast of libdems would support that here.
- netsharc 4y agoOne just needs parity, and for businesses in the desperate backwater economy to accept the funny money, and wahey, you have the Euro! (Yeah I know, in reality it's not that simple...)