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The US isn't going to be caught off guard by China. What the west has been doing for Ukraine in the last few months in terms of weapons, the US and other countr

The US isn't going to be caught off guard by China. What the west has been doing for Ukraine in the last few months in terms of weapons, the US and other countries have been doing for Taiwan over the last few decades: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_US_arms_sales_to_Taiwan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_US_arms_sales_to_Taiwa... The latest sale involves adding 60 Harpoon anti-ship missiles to the pile of hundreds they already have. China will not have an easy time of invading such a well-armed country, and they also have to weigh the non-zero possibility of foreign intervention. It will be a costly endeavor by any measure. China's best bet is a cultural/political/economic takeover, which will give other countries time to diversify chip manufacturing, as we are currently doing.

thehappypm 4y ago
It’s not impossible. China moves at a different pace than the West. They might retake Taiwan in 2100, after a couple generations maybe care more about shared culture and language than democracy.
- yrlihuan 4y ago
  Many mainland Chinese think the best approach for China-Taiwan issue is to just wait. It's not of the best interest of Chinese people (of both China and Taiwan) to change the status quo. On the other side, the US obviously wants to see a war between the two side of the strait. And the US is actually prepareing for it.
missedthecue 4y ago
Taiwan imports 60-70% of it's food and they can't increase domestic production because they import fertilizer and they can't make their own fertilizer because they import natural gas, and they don't have any domestic gas fields. China doesn't need to storm the beaches, they can passively blockade Taiwan until they give in.
- elsonrodriguez 4y ago
  Taiwan has hundreds of anti ship misiles with a range of over 100km. China doesn’t have to storm beaches to be within shooting range. If Taiwan were an easy conquest it would have been conquered. It’s not impossible that China would attempt some sort of belligerence, but Taiwan is capable responding to any threat with enough firepower to deter such actions.
  - missedthecue 4y ago
    You don't need ships to blockade

thehappypm 4y ago

It’s not impossible. China moves at a different pace than the West. They might retake Taiwan in 2100, after a couple generations maybe care more about shared culture and language than democracy.

yrlihuan 4y ago
Many mainland Chinese think the best approach for China-Taiwan issue is to just wait. It's not of the best interest of Chinese people (of both China and Taiwan) to change the status quo. On the other side, the US obviously wants to see a war between the two side of the strait. And the US is actually prepareing for it.

missedthecue 4y ago

Taiwan imports 60-70% of it's food and they can't increase domestic production because they import fertilizer and they can't make their own fertilizer because they import natural gas, and they don't have any domestic gas fields. China doesn't need to storm the beaches, they can passively blockade Taiwan until they give in.

elsonrodriguez 4y ago
Taiwan has hundreds of anti ship misiles with a range of over 100km. China doesn’t have to storm beaches to be within shooting range. If Taiwan were an easy conquest it would have been conquered. It’s not impossible that China would attempt some sort of belligerence, but Taiwan is capable responding to any threat with enough firepower to deter such actions.
- missedthecue 4y ago
  You don't need ships to blockade