4 ms·
> It is a fool's errand to try to evaluate the net societal impact of a particular technology, even with perfect predictive power. This really isn't true. We
by memling 4y ago
> It is a fool's errand to try to evaluate the net societal impact of a particular technology, even with perfect predictive power.
This really isn't true. We regularly do cost-benefit analyses for business; we don't skip them because they're not perfect predictors. We do market analysis and all kinds of customer deep dives to perfect UI/UX and customer response. We've created targeted dopamine-delivery services that are continually refined to maximize impact.
All of this implies a certain kind of ability to evaluate. Looking at tradeoffs and potential uses of technology is well within our abilities, and we should do it. We should be more skeptical of human nature, look harder at the extremes and edge cases, and work towards mitigating the risks. Will it be perfect? No. Will it be helpful? Yes.