Here's a starting point for you - "Estimating likelihood of future crashes for crash-prone drivers" at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209575

Here's a starting point for you - "Estimating likelihood of future crashes for crash-prone drivers" at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095756415000252 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209575641... . > At-fault crash-prone drivers are usually considered as the high risk group for possible future incidents or crashes. In Louisiana, 34% of crashes are repeatedly committed by the at-fault crash-prone drivers who represent only 5% of the total licensed drivers in the state. ... From the findings, it is recommended that crash-prone drivers should be targeted for special safety programs regularly through education and regulations.