3 ms·

I think that's a useful analogy but I would say that it also implies limited DFT. Von Neumann's plan was based on an incredibly short time scale. It wasn't lon

I think that's a useful analogy but I would say that it also implies limited DFT. Von Neumann's plan was based on an incredibly short time scale. It wasn't long before the Soviet Union would develop its own weapons. The power asymmetry was only briefly held. The thing is at a universal scale that would imply that the only threats we would honestly face are ones in close power level, and we can barely leave the earth at the minute. Another species with more advancement than us would be n-years more advanced than us even after we reach the level of what they were at on first encountering them (unless they decide to share technology which would be the opposite of DFT). Technological stagnation could cause a catch-up but then the theory has to assume technological stagnation is incredibly common for enough length of time to allow upstarts to catch up. Now history has shown that more powerful nation's have conquered others. The 19th century is choked full with examples. That primarily was driven by competition by world powers seeking ever more resources for that competition. The universe is abundant in resources however, we have a lot to pick from once we are space faring species.

jonathankoren 4y ago
>Now history has shown that more powerful nation's have conquered others. The 19th century is choked full with examples. That primarily was driven by competition by world powers seeking ever more resources for that competition. The universe is abundant in resources however, we have a lot to pick from once we are space faring species. We can model this using just exponential growth and fixed speeds. If civilizations with interstellar capability existed prior to now, we'd see them. The galaxy would be literally teaming with them. That's the Fermi paradox. That's what the Grabby Aliens paper explored. They don't exist.

jonathankoren 4y ago

>Now history has shown that more powerful nation's have conquered others. The 19th century is choked full with examples. That primarily was driven by competition by world powers seeking ever more resources for that competition. The universe is abundant in resources however, we have a lot to pick from once we are space faring species. We can model this using just exponential growth and fixed speeds. If civilizations with interstellar capability existed prior to now, we'd see them. The galaxy would be literally teaming with them. That's the Fermi paradox. That's what the Grabby Aliens paper explored. They don't exist.