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As somebody who is a sort of self-driving car skeptic myself, even I have to say this kind of over-the-top skepticism is just as silly and absurd as the ridicul
by mindcrime 4y ago
As somebody who is a sort of self-driving car skeptic myself, even I have to say this kind of over-the-top skepticism is just as silly and absurd as the ridiculous self-driving car hype of the last 10 years or so.
OK, so "we" have spent 10 years and $100B on this and it doesn't "fully" work yet. So what? Who said how long it was going to take or how much it was going to cost? This amounts to the little kid in the car screaming "are we there yet? Are we there yet?" The answer is "no", but we are going to get there eventually. That's pretty damn close to inevitable, barring nuclear armageddon or something.
So yeah, I'm a skeptic in terms of believing I won't be riding in a fully autonomous self-driving car in the next 10 years. Or maybe 20 years. But 50 years out? 100? 200? 1000? I mean, yeah, it's absolutely going to happen.
Remember the old saw "We always overestimate the change that will occur in the short term and underestimate the change that will occur in the long term. People overestimate what can be done in one year, and underestimate what can be done in ten."[1]
[1]: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/ https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/