2 ms·
> The innocent person has a 75% change of being convicted. If the conviction rate is 75%, and the percent of convictions that are innocent is 5%, wouldn't that
by wizzwizz4 4y ago
> The innocent person has a 75% change of being convicted.
If the conviction rate is 75%, and the percent of convictions that are innocent is 5%, wouldn't that make an innocent's conviction chance at most 30%?
Edit: I'm silly. It's at least 30%. If some of the unconvicted are guilty, the denominator of innocents is smaller.
- ummonk 4y agoMost convictions aren’t via trial but via plea bargains. It’s fair to assume that innocent people are less likely to take a plea bargain than guilty people, so the chances of getting falsely convicted could be quite high for an innocent person going to trial.