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What if I told you that people suck at statistics and that temperatures have this weird thing called "variance"--meaning the average can increase and yet you st
by titzer 4y ago
What if I told you that people suck at statistics and that temperatures have this weird thing called "variance"--meaning the average can increase and yet you still get outliers that are memorable, in both directions, and thus your cognitive biases don't give you an accurate picture of change?
- christophilus 4y agoI’d tell you that you should read a book called “How to Win Friends and Influence People” so that you could make your important point in a way that would possibly be received, rather than with an arrogant sarcasm that has the opposite effect.
- skippyboxedhero 4y agoAnd what if I told you that I studied statistics at university (my UG is in economic history) and that your cognitive bias about the statistics knowledge of people you don't know isn't interesting to anyone but you. If you read more closely (perhaps spend less time reading statistics textbooks, and more time working on your comprehension), you will also notice that I mentioned specifically that there has been no noticeable change in frequency over the time that I lived here. You may think you are an expert on stats and cognitive biases of people you have never met...are you also an expert on the local weather conditions of central Scotland? My guy, no-one asked, next time you are thinking about doing this, stop. Write it down in your feelings journal, your views are significantly less interesting than you think.