3 ms·

> How will your argument hold up when fcbook finishes dying? We'll find out soon enough. Sounds close enough to "anytime soon" for me.

Chris2048 4y ago
"soon enough" could be a decade relative to the assumption that they'll be around forever.
- lovich 4y ago
  If you’re going to stretch definitions like that “anytime soon” can go as far. It was a reasonable paraphrase
  - Chris2048 4y ago
    If by "stretch" you mean "consider the context", then no, it's an unreasoned paraphrase.
    - lovich 4y ago
      Given the context interpreted the original post as implying that the end of those services was in short term timeframe. And apparently so did the poster im defending. That may not have been what the original poster intended but if that’s the case then they should use less ambiguous language.
      - stormbrew 4y ago
        In theory people are supposed to use the most charitable interpretation on HN. Interpreting the post as talking about a timeline of months or a couple of years, as it seems some replies have done,is definitely not that. That said, network effect declines can happen much faster than people think, and can be hard to see in the numbers social networks usually put out. History is short on this kind of service, so precedent doesn't mean a lot. I wouldn't put money on Facebook being around and anything like it is now in 10 years. It's barely anything like what it was ten years ago, and it's clearly not meta's priority anymore. Twitter is tricky because Elon resuming his bid creates a wide range of possibilities, some that include him cannibalizing it out of spite. He's a wildcard here, as evidenced by him putting in the bid in the first place as something that appears to have been little more than corporate trolling. But if he takes it seriously or turns around and sells it to someone who will it could benefit from a coherent vision (even if it's one I would find very unappealing). Source: I worked for a regionally dominant social network in the early days and watched it evaporate nearly over night.
- formerkrogemp 4y ago
  There are a couple of supreme court cases that could dramatically impact the internet as we know given the current composition of the court..
berkes 4y ago
It also doesn't have to be shut down entirely. It could morph into a form that doesn't work for a lot of people, but does for others (yet making meta more profitable). I presume this Metaverse thing is that. Facebook may stop being the platform that serves every second person on earth a feed of images and text. Or stop being the place where we can communicate for free. Once profitability shifts to VR sets, virtual-asset markets and augmented advertising (or whatever markets emerge, if any)

Chris2048 4y ago

"soon enough" could be a decade relative to the assumption that they'll be around forever.

lovich 4y ago
If you’re going to stretch definitions like that “anytime soon” can go as far. It was a reasonable paraphrase
- Chris2048 4y ago
  If by "stretch" you mean "consider the context", then no, it's an unreasoned paraphrase.
  - lovich 4y ago
    Given the context interpreted the original post as implying that the end of those services was in short term timeframe. And apparently so did the poster im defending. That may not have been what the original poster intended but if that’s the case then they should use less ambiguous language.
    - stormbrew 4y ago
      In theory people are supposed to use the most charitable interpretation on HN. Interpreting the post as talking about a timeline of months or a couple of years, as it seems some replies have done,is definitely not that. That said, network effect declines can happen much faster than people think, and can be hard to see in the numbers social networks usually put out. History is short on this kind of service, so precedent doesn't mean a lot. I wouldn't put money on Facebook being around and anything like it is now in 10 years. It's barely anything like what it was ten years ago, and it's clearly not meta's priority anymore. Twitter is tricky because Elon resuming his bid creates a wide range of possibilities, some that include him cannibalizing it out of spite. He's a wildcard here, as evidenced by him putting in the bid in the first place as something that appears to have been little more than corporate trolling. But if he takes it seriously or turns around and sells it to someone who will it could benefit from a coherent vision (even if it's one I would find very unappealing). Source: I worked for a regionally dominant social network in the early days and watched it evaporate nearly over night.
formerkrogemp 4y ago
There are a couple of supreme court cases that could dramatically impact the internet as we know given the current composition of the court..

berkes 4y ago

It also doesn't have to be shut down entirely. It could morph into a form that doesn't work for a lot of people, but does for others (yet making meta more profitable). I presume this Metaverse thing is that. Facebook may stop being the platform that serves every second person on earth a feed of images and text. Or stop being the place where we can communicate for free. Once profitability shifts to VR sets, virtual-asset markets and augmented advertising (or whatever markets emerge, if any)