4 ms·

If the WH's statement that this affects 6,500 people, that seems like an actual affective.

adolph 4y ago
4% given a Fed prison pop of "151,283 at yearend 2020." https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/federal-prisoner-statistics-collected-under-first-step-act-2021 https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/federal-prisoner-st...
- pavon 4y ago
  None of the pardoned individuals are serving prison time for their offenses. The main value of the pardon is that having a felony conviction makes it harder to get jobs and bars you from voting in some states. Around 8% of the US population has had a felony conviction.
  - joveian 4y ago
    It can prevent people from running or working for legal marijuana businesses in states where it is legal, meaning a history of uneven enforcement continues to affect the legal marijuana industry. https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/amandachicagolewis/americas-white-only-weed-boom https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/amandachicagolewis/amer... I think Oregon either has made changes to address this or is close to doing so. This helps at the federal level.
  - adolph 4y ago
    Us pop: 331,893,745 % Pop w/Felony: 8% Felony pop: 26,551,499 Pardon pop: 6,500 % Felony Pardoned: 0.02% Unfortunately, the 8% of population with a felony includes state felonies, not just federal. Wikipedia claims 6,106,327 [0] as the 2016 total felony population but only includes states. 20M federal felony population seems large. In 2020 66,761 federal felonies were adjudicated with a 94.4% conviction rate [1], so annual rate of 62,755. Of those felonies "Drug" was 18,418 with a 92.6 conviction rate, so 17,055. If the total population of pardoned people is 6,500, that is a bit over 1/3 of felony drug convictions in 2020 alone. Given a conviction growth rate of about 5% over 30 years ending with 62,755, there would be a federal felony population of 936,422. That is barely 1M much less 20M. Something is off about the numbers. 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_the_United_States#Recent_statistics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_t... 1. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs20.pdf https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs20.pdf

4% given a Fed prison pop of "151,283 at yearend 2020." https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/federal-prisoner-statistics-collected-under-first-step-act-2021 https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/federal-prisoner-st...

pavon 4y ago
None of the pardoned individuals are serving prison time for their offenses. The main value of the pardon is that having a felony conviction makes it harder to get jobs and bars you from voting in some states. Around 8% of the US population has had a felony conviction.
- joveian 4y ago
  It can prevent people from running or working for legal marijuana businesses in states where it is legal, meaning a history of uneven enforcement continues to affect the legal marijuana industry. https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/amandachicagolewis/americas-white-only-weed-boom https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/amandachicagolewis/amer... I think Oregon either has made changes to address this or is close to doing so. This helps at the federal level.
- adolph 4y ago
  Us pop: 331,893,745 % Pop w/Felony: 8% Felony pop: 26,551,499 Pardon pop: 6,500 % Felony Pardoned: 0.02% Unfortunately, the 8% of population with a felony includes state felonies, not just federal. Wikipedia claims 6,106,327 [0] as the 2016 total felony population but only includes states. 20M federal felony population seems large. In 2020 66,761 federal felonies were adjudicated with a 94.4% conviction rate [1], so annual rate of 62,755. Of those felonies "Drug" was 18,418 with a 92.6 conviction rate, so 17,055. If the total population of pardoned people is 6,500, that is a bit over 1/3 of felony drug convictions in 2020 alone. Given a conviction growth rate of about 5% over 30 years ending with 62,755, there would be a federal felony population of 936,422. That is barely 1M much less 20M. Something is off about the numbers. 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_the_United_States#Recent_statistics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_t... 1. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs20.pdf https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs20.pdf