In this case the author was a bit silly. He also used common sense to determine he had no way of determining the probability of a rigged event. And therefore u

In this case the author was a bit silly. He also used common sense to determine he had no way of determining the probability of a rigged event. And therefore using Bayesian probability looked fancy but didn't help learn anything new. I remember reading first paragraph and thinking wow, bayesian has a way of helping determining the odds of that, but no. Either he wanted to educate or is so involved with statistics that it became his default way of framing problems.