4 ms·
I mostly agree with your general point, but the US wouldn't default if China stopped buying US debt. The numbers are a little out of date, but in December 2021,
by mariojv 4y ago
I mostly agree with your general point, but the US wouldn't default if China stopped buying US debt. The numbers are a little out of date, but in December 2021, China held $1.1 trillion out of $23.1 trillion in US debt, or just under 5%. [0]
There's extremely high demand for US debt as it's considered the safest bond in the world. All that would happen is interest rates might go up a bit, Congress raising taxes to make up a shortfall, or perhaps some kind of Fed intervention. Default is out of the question.
[0] https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/RS22331.pdf https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/RS22331.pdf
- mattmaroon 4y agoThe US wouldn't default in any case because it has fiat currency and printing lots of money would be less bad than defaulting, though still awful.
- nerbert 4y agoOn top of that, only 1/3 of the US debt is held by foreigners. Not a huge deal in any case.
- pydry 4y agoDefaulting on a currency you print is always a choice. Russia did it in 1998. Its not impossible, but it's never necessary.