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Chess is a game that requires large sample sizes to make any sort of conclusion with 95% confidence interval. The variance in performance is far beyond a lot of
by systemvoltage 4y ago
Chess is a game that requires large sample sizes to make any sort of conclusion with 95% confidence interval. The variance in performance is far beyond a lot of competing sports. Magnus makes blunders, sometimes below-GM level, and so do other GMs (including former World Chess Champions).
For example, if you were watching WCC, one cannot conclude who is better by simply looking at game 9 out of 14. Comebacks happen often.
Even the ELO rating has its drawbacks in determining true strength of the player.
If Magnus plays Hans for 5000 games, sure. Not a chance, at least statistically speaking, in 10 games.
- School-Cotton 4y ago> Magnus makes blunders, sometimes below-GM level, and so do other GMs Famously Kramnik, one of the greatest players of all time, blundered mate in one at classical time controls, which is literally a beginner-level mistake.