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doing the statistical analysis and all is pretty cool, but honestly, can't they just challenge him to play at his rating in a secure environment? his learning
by a-dub 4y ago
doing the statistical analysis and all is pretty cool, but honestly, can't they just challenge him to play at his rating in a secure environment?
his learning curve is a little steeper than the others... that doesn't convince me the otb games were fraudulent.
- jfghi 4y agoThat would be interesting. Have a chess bunker somewhere with 100s of games against a variety of opponents. I think at first there would be some nerves but over time the statistics would become clear. Perhaps there could be a 10 game burn-in.
- a-dub 4y agoi don't know how chess ratings work, but i suspect it could be done with a secured and monitored computer in a secure facility where some small number of games could produce a rating with decent confidence interval on it?
- tedunangst 4y agoAnd as a competing grand master, I want to be a test subject in this bunker why?
- monocasa 4y agoStream it and make money?
- fastball 4y agoIf you're streaming it, it's not exactly a secure chess bunker is it?
- maegul 4y agoWell athletes are required to provide urine samples and sometimes at random inconvenient times. For chess, maybe your rating doesn't mean anything until you've gone through a "verified" bunker-play tournament that operates as a sort of baseline for your ability at all subsequent games until the next one.
- jfghi 4y agoTo me seems as though chess pros play for the sake of playing. Perhaps this bunker could be placed somewhere secretly in Hawaii and the GMs could be flown out for a free vacation with family.
- systemvoltage 4y agoChess is a game that requires large sample sizes to make any sort of conclusion with 95% confidence interval. The variance in performance is far beyond a lot of competing sports. Magnus makes blunders, sometimes below-GM level, and so do other GMs (including former World Chess Champions). For example, if you were watching WCC, one cannot conclude who is better by simply looking at game 9 out of 14. Comebacks happen often. Even the ELO rating has its drawbacks in determining true strength of the player. If Magnus plays Hans for 5000 games, sure. Not a chance, at least statistically speaking, in 10 games.
- School-Cotton 4y ago> Magnus makes blunders, sometimes below-GM level, and so do other GMs Famously Kramnik, one of the greatest players of all time, blundered mate in one at classical time controls, which is literally a beginner-level mistake.