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> Anyway, there were studies out there that there were no statistical differences in his rating gains in tournaments broadcasted with delays and without it. It

by jsnell 4y ago

> Anyway, there were studies out there that there were no statistical differences in his rating gains in tournaments broadcasted with delays and without it. It is exactly the opposite of what you claim: there is a massive statistical aberration in his performance of broadcast tournaments vs. non-broadcast. He is 200 Elo higher in the former. https://talkchess.com/forum3/viewtopic.php?p=933597&sid=1fd7a59b7f0ba1407c603d8ca3b918e8#p933597 https://talkchess.com/forum3/viewtopic.php?p=933597&sid=1fd7... You're clearly very invested in this case. How can you possibly be getting the polarity of the evidence wrong?

Andrew_nenakhov 4y ago
Because I have seen these claims you are referring to and they were refuted by a more full analysis. This is a carefully doctored result that took only a slice of data 2019-2020, and if you look at a bigger picture, which is actually in a reply to a tweet linked in the post you are referring to, irregularities even out: https://twitter.com/NikolaosNtirlis/status/1568849221448781825?s=20&t=WcWdcsfr2iY-w4CANDZJYw https://twitter.com/NikolaosNtirlis/status/15688492214487818... > You're clearly very invested in this case Well, I'm probably into it because I don't believe in presumption of guilt over vague allegations. Also, someone is _wrong_ on the internet, you know. What is happening is nothing but bullying, Magnus is using his popularity and fanbase to destroy am opponent and his fans are like a mob on a witch hunt who are out for blood, demanding severe punishment. I believe it is unfair and an aberration of sports conduct and my ideas of justice. Just crank up anti-cheating measures to 11 at the next OTB event, and see how Hans will play.
- jsnell 4y ago
  That's not a "more full analysis". It's a) not a statistical analysis, b) not "more full" as it's covering a totally different time period rather than being a superset, c) I don't really understand why the "Tournaments" and "no live games" section have totally different columns. (Oh, haha, 2 out of the 3 tournaments under "no live games" from that tweet are in the small set that the chess.com report says merit investigation.)

by jsnell 4y ago

Andrew_nenakhov 4y ago

Because I have seen these claims you are referring to and they were refuted by a more full analysis. This is a carefully doctored result that took only a slice of data 2019-2020, and if you look at a bigger picture, which is actually in a reply to a tweet linked in the post you are referring to, irregularities even out: https://twitter.com/NikolaosNtirlis/status/1568849221448781825?s=20&t=WcWdcsfr2iY-w4CANDZJYw https://twitter.com/NikolaosNtirlis/status/15688492214487818... > You're clearly very invested in this case Well, I'm probably into it because I don't believe in presumption of guilt over vague allegations. Also, someone is _wrong_ on the internet, you know. What is happening is nothing but bullying, Magnus is using his popularity and fanbase to destroy am opponent and his fans are like a mob on a witch hunt who are out for blood, demanding severe punishment. I believe it is unfair and an aberration of sports conduct and my ideas of justice. Just crank up anti-cheating measures to 11 at the next OTB event, and see how Hans will play.

jsnell 4y ago
That's not a "more full analysis". It's a) not a statistical analysis, b) not "more full" as it's covering a totally different time period rather than being a superset, c) I don't really understand why the "Tournaments" and "no live games" section have totally different columns. (Oh, haha, 2 out of the 3 tournaments under "no live games" from that tweet are in the small set that the chess.com report says merit investigation.)