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Well I did minimally adjust my priors based on that evidence actually. The fact that a lot of people are making claims here also adjusts them very slightly (I a

Well I did minimally adjust my priors based on that evidence actually. The fact that a lot of people are making claims here also adjusts them very slightly (I already knew many people felt this way). But I've got heavy weighting on policy matters needing non-anecdotal data, so not much of a change really.

Retric 4y ago
The statistics are available ex: In the United States between 2005 and 2020, of the 42 nonfederal police officers convicted following their arrest for murder due to an on-duty shooting, only five ended up being convicted of murder. By comparison: In 2018 70% of US murder cases resulted in conviction.
- ninkendo 4y ago
  That would make sense though, right? We literally make officers carry guns and tell them “use this to defend yourself, and as a last resort against dangerous suspects when the situation warrants” as part of their job description. It stands to reason that the likelihood of a cop using their gun in a “legal” way is higher on average than the average person who fires a gun. Even in cases where an officer does get arrested on suspicion of murder, it’s less likely to be convict-able than average.
  - Retric 4y ago
    Except there are many steps before a trial where a cop legally shooting someone won’t end up on trial. Not every murder trial is going to be of a guilty person, but someone going on trial for murder suggests there is significant evidence they actually committed murder. Conviction rates of 12% vs 70% show a very strong bias.