There are types of queries that people discount. Navigational queries for instance, that essentially use Google as a spellcheck + DNS. And many queries that ar

There are types of queries that people discount. Navigational queries for instance, that essentially use Google as a spellcheck + DNS. And many queries that are solved with 0 visits, thanks to the information being pulled out from the wiki, or giving up and rephrasing the query. After those, then yes, most queries will be answered by the first page. It's what retrieval is optimized for.