GW150914 was detected in September of 2015 -- the associated prize wasn't awarded until 2017. That award followed the very important detection of GW170817 in Au

GW150914 was detected in September of 2015 -- the associated prize wasn't awarded until 2017. That award followed the very important detection of GW170817 in August 2017, which featured the critical detection of an optical signature in parallel with the GW signal. mRNA is definitely in a similar regime today. A promising technology led to vaccines in trials by autumn 2020, and oodles of shots-in-arms by autumn 2021. In 2022, the mRNA technology is on very solid footing for having saved millions of lives. The Committees definitely could award one or more mRNA prizes this year, but they may have other prizes they need to award before a worthy recipient passes away.