I was going to say a new virus emerging was a good example. In both cases: We know they are theoretically possible. We cannot say for sure when they'll emerge.

I was going to say a new virus emerging was a good example. In both cases: We know they are theoretically possible. We cannot say for sure when they'll emerge. Once they emerge, they can spread by themselves and become common. I guess the place it doesn't hold up is that in the exploit case, they're intentionally engineered, and for a virus, well there's the Wuhan bioweapon conspiracy theory but no, it's more like random mutations cause it.