4 ms·

Iran is very good at oppressing and subduing its citizens. There won’t be any change without foreign military intervention, either outright or by arming minorit

Iran is very good at oppressing and subduing its citizens. There won’t be any change without foreign military intervention, either outright or by arming minorities and the populace to wage an internal civil war. A USA which is preoccupied with Russia and China and still licking its wounds from Iraq and Afghanistan isn’t going to do any of those; they’d rather just pay up to keep Iran on the right side of the nuclear brink. I hope I’m wrong on all these counts, but so far the Mullahs have been going strong.

Alir3z4 4y ago
Iran in particular is very good to keep those foreign military intervention checked on their place without even having any deterrent like Nuclear bomb capabilities.
- tester756 4y ago
  Why? how?
  - Alir3z4 4y ago
    After Iran-Iraq and being sanctioned to hell while even being invaded, Iran went into the process of independent military complex and so far has mastered to become almost fully self-sustaining (except military fighter jets, which they're trying to replace with Drones) The geography of Iran is Afghanistan 100x when it comes to moving military equipments as well due to mountains and deserts (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Eagle_Claw https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Eagle_Claw just one of them) Guerrilla and asymmetrical warfare is up to many levels Among other is the missile capabilities which changes the game dramatically as well. Another factor, is the mix of regular Army and IRGC which is a full topic how they differ and operate. _above just top of my head and very brief, there so many other factors that with good research can be found_ Ofc, not saying Iran is DA GREATEST and MOST POWERFUL, but for sure is able to keep up a bloody fight that causes damage to the enemy so high that no country after Iraq has dared to start one. Regardless, let's hope no country decides to attack another country, there's enough bloodshed
  - flyinglizard 4y ago
    Lots of leverage through armed proxies like Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria and so on. They can exact a price from anyone in the Middle East, and interfere with the global energy market (like their cruise missile attack on Aramco or sabotaging and kidnapping tankers in the Persian Gulf). It makes dealing with them quite geopolitically expensive and a nuisance.
  - hindsightbias 4y ago
    The only guy who would fight them, Saddam, wasn’t so good at it. Even with our help. KSA, Kuwait, Oman, UAE, Turkey and Israel’s battle hymn is “Onward Christian Soldiers” and so far we haven’t elected someone that dumb again. The Shia have the upper hand in Iraq now, so they’ve got no motivation.
panick21_ 4y ago
> There won’t be any change without foreign military intervention That's what people said about many places, like the Soviet Union and many others. People always believe all structures are eternal but a look at history shows that this mostly isn't the case. > either outright or by arming minorities and the populace to wage an internal civil war That's a great way to get those people mass murdered and make the situation worse for everybody. And of course after this large scale mass slaughter of people I'm sure a democracy will just jump up and solve all problems. > isn’t going to do any of those Thank the lord.

Alir3z4 4y ago

Iran in particular is very good to keep those foreign military intervention checked on their place without even having any deterrent like Nuclear bomb capabilities.

tester756 4y ago
Why? how?
- Alir3z4 4y ago
  After Iran-Iraq and being sanctioned to hell while even being invaded, Iran went into the process of independent military complex and so far has mastered to become almost fully self-sustaining (except military fighter jets, which they're trying to replace with Drones) The geography of Iran is Afghanistan 100x when it comes to moving military equipments as well due to mountains and deserts (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Eagle_Claw https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Eagle_Claw just one of them) Guerrilla and asymmetrical warfare is up to many levels Among other is the missile capabilities which changes the game dramatically as well. Another factor, is the mix of regular Army and IRGC which is a full topic how they differ and operate. _above just top of my head and very brief, there so many other factors that with good research can be found_ Ofc, not saying Iran is DA GREATEST and MOST POWERFUL, but for sure is able to keep up a bloody fight that causes damage to the enemy so high that no country after Iraq has dared to start one. Regardless, let's hope no country decides to attack another country, there's enough bloodshed
- flyinglizard 4y ago
  Lots of leverage through armed proxies like Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria and so on. They can exact a price from anyone in the Middle East, and interfere with the global energy market (like their cruise missile attack on Aramco or sabotaging and kidnapping tankers in the Persian Gulf). It makes dealing with them quite geopolitically expensive and a nuisance.
- hindsightbias 4y ago
  The only guy who would fight them, Saddam, wasn’t so good at it. Even with our help. KSA, Kuwait, Oman, UAE, Turkey and Israel’s battle hymn is “Onward Christian Soldiers” and so far we haven’t elected someone that dumb again. The Shia have the upper hand in Iraq now, so they’ve got no motivation.

panick21_ 4y ago

> There won’t be any change without foreign military intervention That's what people said about many places, like the Soviet Union and many others. People always believe all structures are eternal but a look at history shows that this mostly isn't the case. > either outright or by arming minorities and the populace to wage an internal civil war That's a great way to get those people mass murdered and make the situation worse for everybody. And of course after this large scale mass slaughter of people I'm sure a democracy will just jump up and solve all problems. > isn’t going to do any of those Thank the lord.