4 ms·
There is a lot of hopium on social media about this right now because we mostly only see the Ukrainian side of this conflict. The likely outcome to this war is
by koheripbal 4y ago
There is a lot of hopium on social media about this right now because we mostly only see the Ukrainian side of this conflict.
The likely outcome to this war is Ukraine losing territory. There is no reasonably likely outcome where Ukraine will liberate ALL of the occupied territories.
Putin will indeed use tactical nukes, or at least demonstrate them, should Ukraine push much further into the occupied land.
...but you are right that little of that is in our hands. Domestically, we need to ramp up energy production. Both in the US and EU.
- sofixa 4y ago> There is no reasonably likely outcome where Ukraine will liberate ALL of the occupied territories. Of course there is. The Russian army is a disaster reminding of their WWI performances, so it being defeated until they're out of Ukraine isn't unreasonable. > Putin will indeed use tactical nukes, or at least demonstrate them, should Ukraine push much further into the occupied land. Nobody should pretend to understand what Putin will do. He has subverted expectations many times. I hope Macron, Truss and Biden have explicitly made it clear to him that any sort of nukes are the red line that must not be crossed. That's the message i heard, i hope he has too and is not desperate enough to start a nuclear war to save his ass.
- _kbh_ 4y ago> Putin will indeed use tactical nukes, or at least demonstrate them, should Ukraine push much further into the occupied land. Any use of nukes will lead to an overwhelming (likely conventional) response from Ukraines allies, unless Russia wants to lose the war faster they should really stay away from silly stunts like using nukes.