The fact is that, regardless of whether it's factually true, the first scenario is clearly (and awfully) credible enough for people to go "I've had enough of th

The fact is that, regardless of whether it's factually true, the first scenario is clearly (and awfully) credible enough for people to go "I've had enough of this shit". People don't like to revolt - it's messy, risky, dangerous, and chances it will end badly for any one person are way over 50%. If they do it, it's because they experience an incredible amount of nonsensical authoritarianism throughout their daily life, to the point that they feel they have nothing to lose from trying to change things.