Invasion of Ukraine who could knew (a lot of people). I would say most of people living in eastern Europe and folks having some interested in this part of worl

Invasion of Ukraine who could knew (a lot of people). I would say most of people living in eastern Europe and folks having some interested in this part of world predict some sort of military invasion of Ukraine after 2004-2005 revolution, and after 2014 revolution it was pretty obv that Russia would do everything it can to stop Ukraine from pivoting to more western standards and closer integration with EU and Poland. Also US who knew about invasion few months before. Global pandemic is kinda once every few 100 years think so unlucky for us that happen right now. History lessons show that to global or even continental conflict you need to have blocks of equal powers (from Ancient Greece (Peloponnesian War as local but "big" conflict) till modern times and Napoleonic Wars/WW1/WW2) and there is no block that can rival US right now (maybe in 10 years if China go back on tracks and push more funds into army)