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Putin's approval rating since the war began has been a steady 80%+ (https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia/ https://www.statist

Putin's approval rating since the war began has been a steady 80%+ (https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra...). We don't know yet what September's numbers will look like, but it will likely take a hit from the retreats and losses of territory to the Ukrainians this month. Mobilization is going to drop that further. People are ok supporting a war in the abstract, but less so if they have to go out there and fight themselves. And they'll like it even less when they find that people with connections aren't being called up. Calling for mobilization now gives them a few months to train and get equipped when winter brings fighting to a close. It'd be interesting to see where Russia finds officers for these new troops. Or maybe training/equipment/officers don't matter, if the plan is to use them as cannon fodder. Regardless, Ukraine will find it harder to make progress next year like they've done in the last few weeks. There won't be any fronts that are thinly manned and easy to punch through like Kharkiv was.

ClumsyPilot 4y ago
> Putin's approval rating since the war began has been a steady 80%+ (https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra...). These numbers are meaningless. Approval could be 5% and you wouldn't know, amd average russian wouldn't know. Its difficult for a western mindset to understand the mentality. In Russia no-one trusts that a rating agency is independant or real or has nothing to do with the government. They will always reply that they support any official policy, even if the policy is anal probing. Many have gone to jail for 15 years for voicing dissent. Prisons with widespread torture https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-introduce-jail-terms-spreading-fake-information-about-army-2022-03-04/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-introduce-jail-t... I am hoping that mobilisation will cause some sort of social unrest. You don't know what everyone else is thinking, it's like the opposite of manufacturing concent
sereja 4y ago
The mobilization only includes people who formerly served in the military (at least 1-2 years of training). A certain percentage of them are "reservists" who work normal jobs but are summoned for a month-long military training every year to be ready in the case of war, and so they will probably be prioritized (at least according to Putin & Shoigu). This is not cannon fodder. Russia is running out of willing soldiers, not soldiers in general.
ramblerman 4y ago
How can you take these polls seriously?

ClumsyPilot 4y ago

> Putin's approval rating since the war began has been a steady 80%+ (https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra...). These numbers are meaningless. Approval could be 5% and you wouldn't know, amd average russian wouldn't know. Its difficult for a western mindset to understand the mentality. In Russia no-one trusts that a rating agency is independant or real or has nothing to do with the government. They will always reply that they support any official policy, even if the policy is anal probing. Many have gone to jail for 15 years for voicing dissent. Prisons with widespread torture https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-introduce-jail-terms-spreading-fake-information-about-army-2022-03-04/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-introduce-jail-t... I am hoping that mobilisation will cause some sort of social unrest. You don't know what everyone else is thinking, it's like the opposite of manufacturing concent

sereja 4y ago

The mobilization only includes people who formerly served in the military (at least 1-2 years of training). A certain percentage of them are "reservists" who work normal jobs but are summoned for a month-long military training every year to be ready in the case of war, and so they will probably be prioritized (at least according to Putin & Shoigu). This is not cannon fodder. Russia is running out of willing soldiers, not soldiers in general.

ramblerman 4y ago

How can you take these polls seriously?