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Supply shock isn't an acceptable explanation within neoliberal economic dogma. You get hyperinflation when a country's balance of payments tilts so far to impo
by TheOtherHobbes 4y ago
Supply shock isn't an acceptable explanation within neoliberal economic dogma.
You get hyperinflation when a country's balance of payments tilts so far to imports it falls over. Supply destruction is one common route to this. But - for example in Weimar - the burden of reparations also played a part. (Not officially exports, but a loss of capital nonetheless.)
However - through a mysterious neoliberal process the oil shocks of the 70s and 80s, during which the oil price tripled creating massive inflation in economies that relied on oil for almost everything, became a tale of greedy workers forcing up pay and prices.
We're seeing this very clearly in the UK where most workers have barely had a significant pay rise for more than a decade, but the chair of the BoE is encouraging "restraint" - while the energy companies price gouge their customers to make astonishing profits and banker bonus caps are being lifted.
Combined with the supply and export destruction wreaked by Brexit, the prospect of hyperinflation is a real concern now.
- ogogmad 4y agoSupply shocks can lead to inflation, but hyperinflation seems to always result from bad monetary policy (specifically, money printing). To prove this point, all hyperinflation episodes have taken place on fiat currency. Usually, the bad monetary policies are a response to general chaos in the economy, but the policies themselves seem to create the hyperinflation. I'm not an expert, but this is my conclusion from reading the article.