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I predict the opposite will happen. GPU demand will drop, which means GPU manufacturers will have less money to spend on R&D. GPU prices may go down in the sho
by ars 4y ago
I predict the opposite will happen. GPU demand will drop, which means GPU manufacturers will have less money to spend on R&D.
GPU prices may go down in the short term, but long term GPU speeds will stagnate.
I wish there was a way to put a 1 year timer on this comment to see who's right me or stuntkite.
- AdmiralAsshat 4y agoThere's more than enough demand for GPUs with gaming, video rendering, and machine learning that R&D will continue without crypto mining.
- Fabricio20 4y agoWe are already at a stagnating point in GPU speeds, with the most recent generations from NVIDIA simply being pump more juice (watts) instead of big design changes and efficiency optimizations. I don't believe R&D funds will dry as well, since they will simply be relocated to AI and datacenter workloads which have been on the rise more recently.
- stuntkite 4y agoMaybe kind of in like clock... but the parallel throughput and the ability to securely slice and provision GPU workloads is what was delivered this go around. As well as optical NV-Link and all the crazy new stuff coupled with their CPUs. Go look at crowdsupply and look at the previous gen cores being strapped to massive software defined radio arrays. This isn't just about pushing framerate. It's about vector processing being massively more efficient than CPU for almost everything and the tooling to start floating consumer needs that aren't just making pretty bleep bloops go boom boom for fun times is very, very mature.
- ls612 4y agoThe rumored 4090 is going to pull 450W and score ~19000 on 3DMark time spy extreme. The 3080 pulls 350W and scores 9000 if we are being optimistic. If these numbers are ballpark correct we are talking about 60% more performance per watt in two years. Your story may eventually come true but it is not yet true.
- lossolo 4y agoShouldn't you compare 4080 with 3080? or 3090 with 4090? xx90 costs like 2x xx80.
- bitL 4y ago4090Ti - 95TFlops, 3090Ti - 40TFlops, Titan RTX - 16TFlops. Still a nice increase from generation to generation.
- im3w1l 4y agoI think you are both right. Lower prices and lower r&d. If you buy gpu because you care about the objective performance then it's bad. If you buy gpu to keep up with Joneses, then it's good.
- SketchySeaBeast 4y agoI don't think 1 year is long enough to tell - release cycles seem to be ~3 years so you'd need that long to compare the 3xxx->4xxx->5xxx series.
- stuntkite 4y agoYou seem to think GPUs are only currently used for gaming and speculation on ape gifs.