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You are not looking if they "sounded" intelligent. You are looking if they were true.

• danielmarkbruce 4y ago
  If I flip a coin and someone has an intelligent sounding reason for it to come up heads... and then it does... it means practically zero. Being right means little when there are 100s of folks with predictions and reasons.
• xdavidliu 4y ago
  if someone made a correct prediction on a coinflip, you’re more likely to believe they knew what they were doing (rather than just get lucky) if they sound intelligent