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You seem to want to keep your blinders on. The population is growing and hence the number dying is also growing. The way you handle the data to determine what
by upsidesinclude 4y ago
You seem to want to keep your blinders on.
The population is growing and hence the number dying is also growing. The way you handle the data to determine what is considered 'excess' changes the value.
Actuarial science has been used to make that determination in more recent studies. Those studies suggest that the 'excess' number used by politicians and in news media is not accurate.
Actuarial science used by insurance companies now shows historic changes in occurrence of deaths, over this period of time, that are not caused by SarsCoV2.
Again, I suggest you investigate where the information comes from that you consider to support you base assumptions.