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The recently added postscript is my favorite part of the article. It comments how traffic appears exponential due to the recent HN traffic. Then says: > I tru
by lettergram 4y ago
The recently added postscript is my favorite part of the article.
It comments how traffic appears exponential due to the recent HN traffic. Then says:
> I trust I need not explain how funny I think this is. I also have a fairly robust idea for how this curve will look a week from now. Just sayin’.
Traffic will drop fast and return to normal (slightly higher base) in a few days.
Every thing in this article discusses current curves. But there’s actually good reason to assume those curves will return to baseline. Particularly, ones such as “gonad tree cover”. Tree cover is increasing and will return to base as we no longer are using it as a primary energy source and are increasingly using less to build.
My point is the doom and gloom in most cases is not really warranted as it will adjust.
The author also mentions our “global civilization”, we don’t have one. I get their point, but it’s an important note that we have multiple civilizations. That means these curves are happening due to the sun of independent actions of all civilizations. There’s probably no way to change the outcome.
The destruction of the rainforest is out of the control of all civilizations beyond Brazil. China is by far the largest polluter in the world, no one can stop that.
Those hockey stick curves might be inevitable; but they probably aren’t “globally true”. I’m betting if we look at mammal populations in places like Idaho or Alaska they’ve been less impacted than say, Massachusetts.
The problem isn’t really clear from the global charts