3 ms·
Some thoughts: > [Graphs showing exponential population up, outputs up, resource extraction up] Ok, great > [Graphs showing logistic wild animal biomass, for
by personjerry 4y ago
Some thoughts:
> [Graphs showing exponential population up, outputs up, resource extraction up]
Ok, great
> [Graphs showing logistic wild animal biomass, forest cover]
Ok, not good
> Whatever model we have adopted for existing on this planet, it seems to be a poor choice. It appears to be on track to fail.
WHAT? Where did this conclusion come from? There's so many hoops jumped to arrive at this conclusion that I'm astounded. How is "fail" defined by forest cover? Or number of wild animal species? As though we will blindly march towards 0 forest cover over the next N years and immediately suffocate ourselves? No, of course we are paying attention and will come up with new inventions or policies as requirements come up. We are resourceful and intelligent and we'll find ways to adapt.
On another note, curves like this in ecology almost always end up as an S-curve (see Carrying Capacity [0]). It's just a matter of finding what our capacity is and thinking about how we can gracefully decline in growth and avoid the Malthusian trap [1]). Tangentially, I guess this might eventually lead to policies like China's One Child policy [2], and interestingly that means whatever percentages of different cultures exist when our population growth slows will probably remain about the same.
[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrying_capacity https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrying_capacity
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusianism https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusianism
[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy