The next moment is generated entirely by chance. A very small probability. Also it could have been generated even before you spilled your coffee but you wouldn’

The next moment is generated entirely by chance. A very small probability. Also it could have been generated even before you spilled your coffee but you wouldn’t know that as you only have your memories as a reference. It’s like creating a movie by just putting down random pixels and eventually you get an actual frame from the movie. Repeat until the movie has been seen entirely.