It makes no sense to assume how companies will act in the far out future, as companies are not people and their motivations shift with management, investors, an

It makes no sense to assume how companies will act in the far out future, as companies are not people and their motivations shift with management, investors, and markets. You can at best look at the motivation as an explanation of the short to medium term. Long-term, the company might be in entirely different hands. Look at Sun. Apply your strategy to Sun as of a few years before they went under and chunks were bought by Oracle. Sun's motivations meant very little in the end, only what they actually did (such as open sourcing things) survived.