3 ms·
>Stop being a crotchety and elitist angry person and try to understand the way things are going, instead of casting new methods aside because you don't personal
by thrown_22 4y ago
>Stop being a crotchety and elitist angry person and try to understand the way things are going, instead of casting new methods aside because you don't personally understand or get them.
Simpler methods are more robust than more complex methods.
For example: https://www.rsc.org/images/Arrhenius1896_tcm18-173546.pdf https://www.rsc.org/images/Arrhenius1896_tcm18-173546.pdf predicted climate change more or less as it happened a more than a century ago. The current models are hugely complex and not that much more accurate because we're trying to simulate a system with a lot of unknowns.
The same is true just about everywhere when you start running ensemble simulation for multiple inputs. No one does because "We have 20% of simulation end up at infinity or 0" is not a very meaningful statement.