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This is sophistry. The OP is stating facts. You are being "vague" by saying that these have been "debunked" relying on the long term "no conspiracy" theory whic
by arisAlexis 4y ago
This is sophistry. The OP is stating facts. You are being "vague" by saying that these have been "debunked" relying on the long term "no conspiracy" theory which does really not apply in this case. This is a very clear Bayesian probability problem.
- barnacled 4y agoNo, you literally said 'all his claims are facts until proven otherwise'. I am not being vague, I literally posted a link to a rebuttal thread. This is why I don't post on hacker news any more.
- arisAlexis 4y agoYou guys are missing the point. Either you believe some unknown variable has zero probability or even if it is small you think ifs not worth discovering, for an event that is the most important since ww2. Is there proof of zero probability? No.