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Plausible, but I always come back to TCO. The real reason EVs are suddenly gaining traction is that prices for gasoline spiked and a lot of people are finally
by rootusrootus 4y ago
Plausible, but I always come back to TCO. The real reason EVs are suddenly gaining traction is that prices for gasoline spiked and a lot of people are finally realizing that EVs typically cost much less to fuel. Think about how people suddenly start trading in pickups for compact cars when gas prices have spiked in the past -- and maybe that to save 25-50% on fuel cost. A bunch of people are realizing that going to EV is saving more like 75% or more, and that's without downsizing.
So of course EVs were going to become very popular. Just had to get people past the range anxiety and charging unfamiliarity. Now they see that all their neighbors are doing just fine with their new Teslas/etc, and they talk to them about their experience, anxiety goes down, and they sign their name on the waiting list.
- darkteflon 4y agoYeah I think that’s a good explanation of what’s driving current demand, and I suspect that projections as to the future direction of those cost inputs is primarily what’s driving these (widely-publicised) predictive models. But my point wasn’t that “people are buying EVs because they’re cool”, but rather: I bet current projections of future rates of EV adoption underweight the effect of ICE products becoming desperately uncool faster than most expect. It’s just a hunch though.
- 988747 4y agoPrices of electricity have spiked as well in Europe, thanks to the war in Ukraine. I just recently read an article saying that in Netherlands it's now more expensive to drive electric car than gasoline powered one.
- lnsru 4y agoI don’t agree. All of my cars consumed ~8 liter petrol/diesel for 100 km. Electric vehicle of the same size needs less than 25 kwh. I agree, that using that very special 250 kW ionity charger petrol car is cheaper. But it’s extreme case. There are enough slower chargers with sane price making electrical vehicles very economic.
- koheripbal 4y agoThis doesn't take into account the cost of replacing the battery when it degrades over time, and the cost of the much more limited range, and the cost of a much much longer fueling time.
- rootusrootus 4y agoIt doesn't account for replacing the engine on the ICE car either, which has about the same schedule as an EV battery. I spent 5-10 minutes of my life every week keeping my last ICE vehicle fueled. I spend 15 seconds a day keeping my EV topped off. I've saved so much time not having to go to the gas station that I still come out waaaaay ahead even if I have to stop for 20-30 minutes to recharge on my road trip.
- koheripbal 4y agoICE lifespan lasts decades longer than an EV battery with zero degradation on range. I'm still driving my 1992 vehicle today. Your assumption is just wrong.