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I mean, that sounds pretty obvious to me. I’m no geopolitical expert so I cannot picture what the world looks like in this scenario, but it would definitely be
by selfhoster11 4y ago
I mean, that sounds pretty obvious to me. I’m no geopolitical expert so I cannot picture what the world looks like in this scenario, but it would definitely be bad.
On the other hand, if the Ukraine war and related political stresses prove sufficient, we may actually see Russia split apart. That would make it so that China no longer has a single throat to choke with respect to Russia. It would likely have great knock-on effects with respect to nuclear MAD balance worldwide, since Russia has thus far been US’s largest rival there.
- wikitopian 4y agoAs a purely hypothetical, counterfactual mind game, how would you adapt your position if Russia were winning the ground war, economically stable, and firmly behind both Putin and the war?
- selfhoster11 4y agoI don’t know what to think of this scenario, other than that it has very strong parallels to the German invasion of 1939. I’d feel horrified, helpless and powerless, coupled with some mixture of: - “damn, it’s a shame they couldn’t hold out for longer” - “at least it’s not my own country” - “my home country is just next door, so I sure hope they’ll stop at Ukraine and don’t go any further yet” - “I’m so lucky I moved abroad and live on the other end of the continent away from all this”
- towaway15463 4y agoRussia splitting apart or potentially collapsing entirely is a doomsday scenario. If you’re cheering it on then you’re living in a fantasy land and will receive a very rude and radioactive wake up call if you get your wish.
- selfhoster11 4y agoI’m not cheering it on, I’m saying it’s possible despite most people not being aware of this. And I very much do not want a nuclear war, given the death toll.