This is a nice concrete refutation of the fallacious reasoning in Pascal’s Mugging [0]. You can take this argument to its absurd conclusion by setting probabili

This is a nice concrete refutation of the fallacious reasoning in Pascal’s Mugging [0]. You can take this argument to its absurd conclusion by setting probability p arbitrarily small and the payout X arbitrarily large, such that p*X is arbitrarily greater than $1M, e.g. a 1/100000 chance of winning 100 trillion dollars. [0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_mugging https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_mugging