Young technologies can progress exponentially (Moore's law, Wright's law,...) with the right factors in place, so be careful when extrapolating progress over th

Young technologies can progress exponentially (Moore's law, Wright's law,...) with the right factors in place, so be careful when extrapolating progress over the next decade using the last decade. How much progress in neural-network-based image recognition has been made in 2002-2012, and how much in 2012-2022?