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> climate change ... [glaciers] melt faster and earlier Yes, this has been strongly predicted by climate models since forever. Mark Lynas' 2006 book Six Degree
by tuatoru 4y ago
> climate change ... [glaciers] melt faster and earlier
Yes, this has been strongly predicted by climate models since forever. Mark Lynas' 2006 book Six Degrees, which summarised climate change research up to about 2005, has a section on this.
The prediction was that Pakistan will be wetter (i.e. have higher river flows) than historical averages through the 2020s because of glacial retreat.
Sometime in the late 2030s or early 2040s, the glaciers will be effectively gone, and Pakistan will be without water, except during the monsoon (which may be more erratic - different models still say different things here). The rest of the year, the river beds will be dry.
The time to start planning flood control and water retention structures was 20 years ago. Better late than never, though.