5 ms·
US birth rate: 1.70 France birth rate: 1.87 Japan birth rate: 1.36 Pakistan birth rate: 3.45 So Pakistan, unlike many more developed countries, has a birth rat
by highwaylights 4y ago
US birth rate: 1.70
France birth rate: 1.87
Japan birth rate: 1.36
Pakistan birth rate: 3.45
So Pakistan, unlike many more developed countries, has a birth rate higher than the replacement rate, but significantly lower than it’s 1950 to 2000 highs over 6 - and trending downwards.
The population would be expected to drop precipitously, but not soon.
- Gibbon1 4y agoI think Mexico's fertility rate was around 6 in 1975. And is now 2.10 or something. Basically Pakistan is 20 years behind Mexico demographically. Mexico will probably peak in 30 years. Not sure about Pakistan because a Pakistan of 500 million doesn't seem sustainable.
- acchow 4y agoYour logic is not sound. As long as birth rate remains above the replacement rate, population will not drop. Pakistan's birth rate has fallen significantly (but still above the replacement rate), so you will expect population growth to plummet, but not the population number itself
- highwaylights 4y agoMy point is that the current trajectory would soon make the birth rate below the replacement rate.