> In reality, the vast majority of his predictions over the past two decades have not come true e.g. saying China, Russia, and Canada would all break up by 2020

> In reality, the vast majority of his predictions over the past two decades have not come true e.g. saying China, Russia, and Canada would all break up by 2020. Two decades? Is there some other source for these predictions other than the book series he kicked off 8 years ago? The claims in his 2014 book are much more measured: - Russia needs to deal with Ukraine by 2020 (one of his few concrete timelines, a couple years off) - Increased Albertan autonomy will enter mainsteam political discussion (Danielle Smith) - China will run into issues from an unstable financial system (Evergrande) I think it's clear his background is not technical, he's more than a little hyperbolic, but I don't think he does as poorly as you mark him. Unless he has some other more aggressive set of predictions than the ones I've found, he still has a good 30 years before he can safely be called a hack.