3 ms·

>1) they've "held" the south-east (and donbass etc.) for a while, now Yes they have. You put "held" in quotation marks, why? I think that Russia is going to ma

>1) they've "held" the south-east (and donbass etc.) for a while, now Yes they have. You put "held" in quotation marks, why? I think that Russia is going to make this into a 3rd "separatist"/breakway republic. >2) nukes were never really on the table, that was just some tedious "russia strong man!" nonsense U.S. intelligence allegedly failed to predict this invasion, which makes me think they underestimated Russia's goals and intentions here. Why wouldn't an irrational, paranoid dictator consider nukes? To consider him using weapons in his arsenal "nonsense" is wishful thinking or pulling wool over one's eyes >3) Sanctions are starting to bite Maybe, but maybe not enough to stop an irrational, paranoid dictator from accomplishing his goals. >4) Morale among Russian troops is (allegedly) basically non-existent This is true. That is why Russia is pulling troops from Syria, PMCs like Wagner, and using Chechen forces.

_kbh_ 4y ago
> Yes they have. You put "held" in quotation marks, why? I think that Russia is going to make this into a 3rd "separatist"/breakway republic. I don't see Russia even conducting as referendum in Kherson anytime soon, outside of the current offensive the office that as conducting the referendum exploded the other day and pretty much every week collaborators end up dead in multiple ways. > U.S. intelligence allegedly failed to predict this invasion, which makes me think they underestimated Russia's goals and intentions here. Why wouldn't an irrational, paranoid dictator consider nukes? To consider him using weapons in his arsenal "nonsense" is wishful thinking or pulling wool over one's eyes The US was shouting from the roof tops that this invasion was going to happen and where off by less then two weeks about when it would happen, I fail to see how that is 'failing to predict the invasion'/
genman 4y ago
1) Ask yourself, if Russia makes Kherson "Russia" now and Ukraine takes it back then how does it look like? There is your answer - they will going to do any "referendums" there. 2) What are you about? US predicted damn well the start of the invasion, give or take a week. 3) That dictator may want to go to the Moon but to do that you have to actually be capable to do it. 4) Not much has been seen of these Chechen forces lately and they have been used as behind the line terror force anyway. Hard to say anything about mercenaries at this point of time.

_kbh_ 4y ago

> Yes they have. You put "held" in quotation marks, why? I think that Russia is going to make this into a 3rd "separatist"/breakway republic. I don't see Russia even conducting as referendum in Kherson anytime soon, outside of the current offensive the office that as conducting the referendum exploded the other day and pretty much every week collaborators end up dead in multiple ways. > U.S. intelligence allegedly failed to predict this invasion, which makes me think they underestimated Russia's goals and intentions here. Why wouldn't an irrational, paranoid dictator consider nukes? To consider him using weapons in his arsenal "nonsense" is wishful thinking or pulling wool over one's eyes The US was shouting from the roof tops that this invasion was going to happen and where off by less then two weeks about when it would happen, I fail to see how that is 'failing to predict the invasion'/

genman 4y ago

1) Ask yourself, if Russia makes Kherson "Russia" now and Ukraine takes it back then how does it look like? There is your answer - they will going to do any "referendums" there. 2) What are you about? US predicted damn well the start of the invasion, give or take a week. 3) That dictator may want to go to the Moon but to do that you have to actually be capable to do it. 4) Not much has been seen of these Chechen forces lately and they have been used as behind the line terror force anyway. Hard to say anything about mercenaries at this point of time.