Too early to tell IMO. The Ukrainians have done a great job with innovation and PR. They repelled a Russian invasion of Kyiv and forced them to retreat from an

Too early to tell IMO. The Ukrainians have done a great job with innovation and PR. They repelled a Russian invasion of Kyiv and forced them to retreat from an area as large as Denmark. They will likely have trouble handling a prolonged engagement and recovering the rest of their territory. But it is not impossible. The Russians are clearly not even the second best army fighting in Ukraine. They will likely attempt to turn this into a prolonged event which seems to be their only advantage. However the longer this goes on the more domestic resistance will materialize. Putin is worried about this since he did not increase troop numbers by conscription. The sanctions are beginning to affect the average Russian so that is a problem regardless of their propaganda.