I don't think the big climate change risk is deaths directly from disasters as much as it is starvation, poverty, disease, unrest, etc brought on by things like

I don't think the big climate change risk is deaths directly from disasters as much as it is starvation, poverty, disease, unrest, etc brought on by things like crop failures. The war in Ukraine prevented the country from getting its grain to market, which drove up grain prices beyond what poor countries could afford, creating a food crisis (this also impacted the poor in more developed countries, as food prices rose). A climate-induced crop failure in a major agricultural region could have the same effect.