4 ms·
sounds like a luck bias. it's easy to say ah, there are so many variables, and they're extremely difficult to isolate. must be luck. that way we don't have to d
by iraqmtpizza 4y ago
sounds like a luck bias. it's easy to say ah, there are so many variables, and they're extremely difficult to isolate. must be luck. that way we don't have to do the gruelling historical analysis
- ZeroGravitas 4y agoNo, you can do the analysis but if you end up with two competing theories like: * we accidentally started our civilization on top of oil which would come in handy 2000 years later Vs * My ancestors were super smart and did this one thing that I am really overinvested in today Then there's a kind of Occam's razor that leans towards the luck based explanation.
- keybored 4y agoNot really. There can be still be causes of things which are known and analyzable... But “luck” says that agents didn’t cause them (intentionally).