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Even with the hot streak in 2019, his performance rating was 2889, which is not enough. It could have continued for a thousand games and it would not have been
by mpol 4y ago
Even with the hot streak in 2019, his performance rating was 2889, which is not enough. It could have continued for a thousand games and it would not have been enough. He will need more wins against high rated players, even more wins than in 2019.
Quote from the article: "...won every tournament he took part in, scored 32 wins, 47 draws and not a single loss, with a rating performance of 2889."
- shmageggy 4y ago> In this simulation. Magnus reached the rating in 1600 simulated trajectories out of 2000. If Magnus Carlsen continues showing the same performance as he did during the 2019 period, he has 80% chance of reaching 2900.
- mpol 4y agoYes, I read that too. There are not many details, like what kind of simulations there have been made. Also, "the same performance" has a different meaning from TPR performance I guess. With a TPR of 2889 you will not reach 2900, afaik. Unless 1 tournament is played with a TPR of 2920 and the next one with a TPR of 2840. But then it's a fleeting 2900 :) I guess that will do for Carlsen :)
- sgjohnson 4y agoHe is fighting an uphill battle though, because nobody has a higher rating than him, and there's only so many points you can gain from winning games against lower rated players.