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Cui bono? Kissinger noted in Diplomacy (1994) that Germany's key role in European history has been main defender of Central Europe against Russia. And ofc, Ru

Cui bono? Kissinger noted in Diplomacy (1994) that Germany's key role in European history has been main defender of Central Europe against Russia. And ofc, Russia was a major foe in the last wars. To me, there's no way Germany missed the point of Russian moves the past decade. So assume for a moment that they knew this day was coming. If they have energy independence, they might also be called to task to play their traditional role and their natural role now as the powerhouse of the EU and NATO, to lead the fight against Russia. But if they're hobbled by energy dependence, they can shrug and say "sorry, it's simply not a feasible option for us. We're sitting this one out." Which seems to be what they have done. Add they get cover from their domestic green problems as well. Alles ist gut.

makomk 4y ago
That's an interesting explaination, but I'm not sure why they'd need such a complicated scheme when they could just point at the state of the German armed forces as justification. (Which was basically their response to the invasion of Ukraine)
- pmayrgundter 4y ago
  The power of AND
chickenimprint 4y ago
This is nonsense, Germany is militarily very weak and only makes up 20% of the EU economy. You make it seem like they own Europe and are some scheming superpower in disguise. There's not much they could do in terms of military aid the US couldn't do 20 times over in half the time. France is like twice the size as an arms producer, what are they doing? What about Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Sweden, Austria and Belgium? None of these countries needed an excuse to do nothing. Germans might not have enough gas to heat their homes which would cause the government to fall and you see this as some sort of genius chess move.
- pmayrgundter 4y ago
  "You make it seem like they own Europe and are some scheming superpower in disguise." Not the craziest idea I've ever heard. The point about a weak military is valid, but same logic applies. Germany has shown the ability to quickly arm when it wants to.

makomk 4y ago

That's an interesting explaination, but I'm not sure why they'd need such a complicated scheme when they could just point at the state of the German armed forces as justification. (Which was basically their response to the invasion of Ukraine)

pmayrgundter 4y ago
The power of AND

chickenimprint 4y ago

This is nonsense, Germany is militarily very weak and only makes up 20% of the EU economy. You make it seem like they own Europe and are some scheming superpower in disguise. There's not much they could do in terms of military aid the US couldn't do 20 times over in half the time. France is like twice the size as an arms producer, what are they doing? What about Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Sweden, Austria and Belgium? None of these countries needed an excuse to do nothing. Germans might not have enough gas to heat their homes which would cause the government to fall and you see this as some sort of genius chess move.

pmayrgundter 4y ago
"You make it seem like they own Europe and are some scheming superpower in disguise." Not the craziest idea I've ever heard. The point about a weak military is valid, but same logic applies. Germany has shown the ability to quickly arm when it wants to.