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> There is an inverse relationship between the age of a futurist and the amount of time they think it will take for their predictions to become true. That's n
by gwern 4y ago
> There is an inverse relationship between the age of a futurist and the amount of time they think it will take for their predictions to become true.
That's not true. The so-called Maes-Garreau law or effect does not replicate in actual surveys, as opposed to a few cherrypicked futurist examples.