2 ms·

AGI has been 20-30 years away for some 70 years now...

• Isinlor 4y ago
  Kurzweil in 2002 made $20,000 bet that a difficult, well defined 2h version of Turing test will by passed by 2029. https://longbets.org/1/ https://longbets.org/1/ Given development in language models in the last 2 years he may have a decent chance at winning that bet. People give him 65% chance [0] and by now there are only 7 years left. [0] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/computer-passes-turing-test-by-2029/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/computer-passes-tur...